GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/11/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWDWWL

GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaLD

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Mineros de ZacatecasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
100.0Attack25.0
41.7Defence58.3
66.7Form50.0
68.8Power46.7
1.98xG1.12
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