Mineros de Guyanavs
Monagas SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/7/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mineros de Guyana 1-0 Monagas SC
Original prediction
Monagas SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 27.5% | 34.8% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.1% | 26.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 44.4% | 38.4% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Monagas SC
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Monagas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60