Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mineiros · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mineiros are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Crixás EC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineiros hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 30.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Goiano - 2, while Mineiros holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mineiros
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
14.4%
Mineiros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20