Minaur Baia MarevsCSM Satu Mare

Minaur Baia Mare are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CSM Satu Mare are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Minaur Baia Mare hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Cupa României, while Minaur Baia Mare holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.