Minasvs
Comerciantes
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 5/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Minas are 0W-4D-0L in their last 4 (DDDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Comerciantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00