GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Minas are 0W-4D-0L in their last 4 (DDDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Comerciantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MinasDDDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
ComerciantesDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MinasComerciantes
45.5Attack41.7
78.8Defence75.0
42.4Form58.3
53.5Power60.6
0.73xG0.60
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