GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LNZ Cherkasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Minai are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while LNZ Cherkasy are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LNZ Cherkasy hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Premier League, while LNZ Cherkasy holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LNZ Cherkasy

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

LNZ Cherkasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MinaiLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LNZ CherkasyLLWD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
MinaiLNZ Cherkasy
30.0Attack34.4
44.4Defence62.2
27.8Form45.6
36.8Power49.2
0.70xG1.09
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