GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/16/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Milton Keynes Dons are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while West Ham United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham United U21 hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 79.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the EFL Trophy, while West Ham United U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham United U21

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Milton Keynes DonsDLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
West Ham United U21WDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Milton Keynes DonsWest Ham United U21
66.7Attack86.7
41.7Defence80.0
75.0Form80.0
61.9Power79.9
1.52xG2.26
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