GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Milton Keynes Dons are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Tranmere are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the League Two, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Milton Keynes Dons

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Milton Keynes DonsLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TranmereDLDDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Milton Keynes DonsTranmere
58.3Attack48.6
47.2Defence49.3
54.2Form41.3
54.1Power47.6
1.95xG1.37
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