Milton Keynes DonsvsSwindon Town

Milton Keynes Dons are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Swindon Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 43.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.