Milton Keynes Donsvs
Peterborough
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Peterborough
Original prediction
Milton Keynes Dons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.1% | 25.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.5% | 27.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60