Milton Keynes DonsvsNorthampton

Milton Keynes Dons are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Northampton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.