GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Milton Keynes Dons are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leyton Orient are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Milton Keynes Dons

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Milton Keynes DonsWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Leyton OrientWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Milton Keynes DonsLeyton Orient
66.7Attack44.4
41.7Defence33.3
75.0Form11.1
61.9Power32.9
2.43xG1.42
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