Milton Keynes Donsvs
Leicester
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 Leicester
Original prediction
Milton Keynes Dons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 37.4% | 40.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.1% | 27.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.5% | 31.7% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40