Milton Keynes Donsvs
Chelsea U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/29/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Milton Keynes Dons are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chelsea U21 are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 4.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 43.2-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 4.50/2.50