GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/29/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Milton Keynes Dons are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chelsea U21 are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 4.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Milton Keynes Dons hold a 43.2-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Milton Keynes Dons holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Milton Keynes Dons

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Milton Keynes DonsWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chelsea U21WD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 4.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Milton Keynes DonsChelsea U21
66.7Attack33.3
41.7Defence0.0
75.0Form11.1
61.9Power18.7
2.78xG1.29
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