Milsami Orheivs
Zimbru
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Milsami Orhei 1-1 Zimbru
Original prediction
Zimbru
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.0% | 16.8% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.8% | 21.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 47.2% | 61.5% | 14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Milsami OrheiDWLWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZimbruDLLWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Milsami OrheiZimbru
38.1Attack66.7
52.4Defence69.0
42.9Form64.3
46.5Power66.1
0.73xG1.88