UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Milsami Orhei

Milsami Orhei

Home
L
01
Full time
Velež

Velež

Away
W
CSR Orhei
GoalVio prediction
36% confidence
Milsami Orhei(35%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Velež
Win probability
Milsami Orhei
35%
Draw
32%
Velež
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Milsami Orhei
9
Velež
34
Defence
Milsami Orhei
66
Velež
91
Momentum
Milsami Orhei
0
Velež
100
Danger (xG)
Milsami Orhei
0.00
Velež
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Milsami Orhei)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Velež)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Milsami Orhei)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Velež)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei
LDLL
VeležVelež
WWD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Milsami Orhei35%
Draw32%
Velež33%

Milsami Orhei leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Milsami Orhei head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at CSR Orhei in mixed form (L), while Velež arrive in mixed form (W). Milsami Orhei have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Velež over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Milsami Orhei (66/100) and Velež (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Milsami Orhei have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match. Velež have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Velež have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Milsami Orhei to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Milsami Orhei 3497%, Draw 3166%, Velež 3337%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Milsami Orhei 0Draws 01 Velež
Avg goals: 1.0
16 Jul 2026
Milsami Orhei
L01
Velež

Recent form

Milsami Orhei

Milsami Orhei

L
vs Velež
16 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Zimbru
27 Jun 2026
00
L
vs Zimbru
13 May 2026
01
L
@ KuPS
8 Jul 2025
01
Velež

Velež

W
@ Milsami Orhei
16 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Rudar Prijedor
16 May 2026
42
D
vs Zrinjski
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Milsami Orhei vs Velež?

GoalVio's model predicts Milsami Orhei to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Milsami Orhei vs Velež?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Milsami Orhei vs Velež?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Milsami Orhei vs Velež?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more