Milsami Orheivs
Sheriff Tiraspol
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Milsami Orhei 0-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Original prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.63 | 19.4% | 17.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 23.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.5% | 58.5% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00