GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/27/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Milsami Orhei are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 39.0-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 77.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Super Liga, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Milsami OrheiLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sheriff TiraspolDWDWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Milsami OrheiSheriff Tiraspol
23.8Attack76.2
52.4Defence76.2
33.3Form81.0
38.7Power77.7
0.76xG2.13
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