Milsami Orheivs
Politehnica UTM
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milsami Orhei · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Milsami Orhei 3-3 Politehnica UTM
Original prediction
Milsami Orhei
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.4% | 41.3% | -18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.4% | 26.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.2% | 32.4% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Milsami Orhei
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Milsami Orhei has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60