Millwall U21vs
West Ham United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Millwall U21 1-0 West Ham United U21
Original prediction
West Ham United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.4% | 36.3% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.7% | 25.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.8% | 38.1% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
West Ham United U21
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20