Millonariosvs
Sao Paulo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/29/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Millonarios are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80