GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Millonarios are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.0 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

14.7%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MillonariosLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeDDLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MillonariosSanta Fe
51.5Attack51.3
63.6Defence64.1
48.5Form50.0
55.0Power55.9
1.18xG1.02
View match centre →