GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Millonarios are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.0 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MillonariosLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente MedellinDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MillonariosIndependiente Medellin
51.5Attack50.0
63.6Defence57.6
48.5Form53.0
55.0Power55.9
1.40xG1.00
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