GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Millonarios are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Águilas Doradas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MillonariosDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Águilas DoradasWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
MillonariosÁguilas Doradas
51.5Attack38.1
63.6Defence57.1
48.5Form50.8
55.0Power51.6
1.43xG0.75
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