Millonariosvs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/31/2026, 1:20:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Millonarios are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Millonarios
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60