MillonariosvsDefensa Y Justicia

Millonarios are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.