GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Millonarios are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MillonariosDLLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MillonariosBoston River
47.6Attack28.6
61.9Defence42.9
52.4Form28.6
55.6Power36.8
1.69xG0.69
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