Millesimovs
Borgosesia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone A · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Millesimo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Millesimo 3-0 Borgosesia
Original prediction
Millesimo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.9% | 35.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.6% | 29.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.5% | 35.1% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Millesimo
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Millesimo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/5.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00