Milan IIvs
Club Milano
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone B · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milan II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Milan II 1-1 Club Milano
Original prediction
Milan II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.9% | 41.5% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.0% | 28.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.0% | 30.3% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Milan II
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Milan II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20