Milan IIvs
Athletic Carpi
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/1/2024, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Milan II are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Athletic Carpi are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Carpi hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Serie C - Girone B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50