GGOALVIO

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/28/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Keshla FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mil-Muğan are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Keshla FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Keshla FC hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Birinci Dasta, while Keshla FC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Keshla FC

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Keshla FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mil-MuğanLW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Keshla FCWDDLL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mil-MuğanKeshla FC
46.9Attack74.1
74.1Defence72.8
58.0Form70.4
60.3Power70.8
0.80xG1.11
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