Mijas Las Lagunasvs
Tamaraceite
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mijas Las Lagunas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mijas Las Lagunas 6-2 Tamaraceite
Original prediction
Mijas Las Lagunas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 48.9% | 40.1% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 27.9% | 29.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.1% | 30.1% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Mijas Las Lagunas
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Mijas Las Lagunas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20