Mijas Las Lagunasvs
Sevilla Atletico
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevilla Atletico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mijas Las Lagunas 3-1 Sevilla Atletico
Original prediction
Sevilla Atletico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.0% | 35.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 26.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.8% | 37.5% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sevilla Atletico
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Sevilla Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20