Mijas Las Lagunasvs
Real Betis II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mijas Las Lagunas 1-1 Real Betis II
Original prediction
Real Betis II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.1% | 30.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.4% | 25.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.6% | 43.5% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis II
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Real Betis II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80