Mijas Las Lagunasvs
Ciudad de Lucena
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mijas Las Lagunas 1-1 Ciudad de Lucena
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 27.4% | 35.2% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.4% | 29.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.2% | 35.0% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.14 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.9%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00