Migori Youthvs
Mathare United
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Migori Youth · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United
Original prediction
Migori Youth
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 40.0% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 31.9% | 31.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.7% | 28.1% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Migori Youth 0–0 Mathare United
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Migori Youth
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Migori Youth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60