Miedz Legnicavs
Warta Poznań
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miedz Legnica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miedz Legnica 2-1 Warta Poznań
Original prediction
Miedz Legnica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.6% | 41.8% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.6% | 27.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.9% | 31.0% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Miedz Legnica
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Miedz Legnica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40