Miedz Legnicavs
Stal Rzeszów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miedz Legnica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miedz Legnica 2-3 Stal Rzeszów
Original prediction
Miedz Legnica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.5% | 52.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.1% | 24.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Miedz Legnica
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Miedz Legnica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40