Miedz Legnicavs
Stal Mielec
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miedz Legnica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miedz Legnica 3-0 Stal Mielec
Original prediction
Miedz Legnica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.4% | 67.5% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.0% | 17.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.6% | 14.7% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Miedz Legnica
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Miedz Legnica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80