Miedz Legnicavs
Chrobry Głogów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miedz Legnica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miedz Legnica 1-1 Chrobry Głogów
Original prediction
Miedz Legnica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.9% | 38.9% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 27.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.4% | 33.4% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Miedz Legnica
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Miedz Legnica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60