Miedz Legnicavs
Arka Gdynia
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/26/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Miedz Legnica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arka Gdynia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Cup, while Arka Gdynia holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arka Gdynia
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60