GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 9/26/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Miedz Legnica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arka Gdynia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Cup, while Arka Gdynia holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arka Gdynia

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miedz LegnicaLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Arka GdyniaLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Miedz LegnicaArka Gdynia
0.0Attack55.6
33.3Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power67.2
1.22xG1.76
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