Miedź Legnica IIvs
Stilon Gorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stilon Gorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miedź Legnica II 2-2 Stilon Gorzów
Original prediction
Stilon Gorzów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.0% | 32.4% | -16.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.4% | 23.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.6% | 44.0% | 17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Stilon Gorzów
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Stilon Gorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20