GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Miedź Legnica II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Miedź Legnica II 2-1 Rakow II

Original prediction

Miedź Legnica II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5757.5%63.8%6.2 pts
Draw4.1122.0%17.5%-4.5 pts
Away4.4120.5%18.7%-1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.4–16%

Predicted outcome

Miedź Legnica II

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Miedź Legnica II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miedź Legnica IIWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rakow IIWDWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Miedź Legnica IIRakow II
75.8Attack44.4
36.4Defence37.0
42.4Form33.3
51.2Power40.6
3.12xG1.54
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