Midlandvs
Tristan Suarez
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Midland 0-0 Tristan Suarez, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Midland 0-1 Tristan Suarez
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.2% | 32.8% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.71 | 33.8% | 37.9% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Midland 0–0 Tristan Suarez
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MidlandWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezDDDWL
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandTristan Suarez
37.8Attack34.4
72.2Defence83.3
52.2Form60.0
55.9Power61.1
0.53xG0.54