GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Midland are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MidlandDWDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin S.J.LDDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandSan Martin S.J.
36.1Attack34.8
76.4Defence66.7
52.8Form44.9
57.1Power51.3
0.80xG0.45
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