Midlandvs
Nueva Chicago
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/29/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Midland 0-0 Nueva Chicago, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Midland 2-0 Nueva Chicago
Original prediction
Midland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.7% | 48.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.2% | 34.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 18.1% | 16.7% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
Midland 0–0 Nueva Chicago
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MidlandLDDWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Nueva ChicagoLLLWL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandNueva Chicago
36.0Attack25.6
74.7Defence67.9
50.7Form37.2
55.8Power45.5
0.78xG0.35