Midlandvs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Midland 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Midland 3-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
Original prediction
Midland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.1% | 42.9% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.7% | 33.2% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 18.2% | 23.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Projected Score
Midland 0–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MidlandLWDLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroWDLWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MidlandGimnasia Y Tiro
39.2Attack36.3
71.6Defence69.6
50.0Form51.0
54.9Power54.5
0.78xG0.57