GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Midland are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colegiales are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MidlandDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColegialesWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MidlandColegiales
36.1Attack31.9
76.4Defence65.3
52.8Form41.7
57.1Power48.1
0.84xG0.41
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