Midlandvs
Chacarita Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/13/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Midland 0-0 Chacarita Juniors, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Midland 1-0 Chacarita Juniors
Original prediction
Midland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.8% | 50.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.4% | 33.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.20 | 21.7% | 16.6% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Midland 0–0 Chacarita Juniors
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MidlandLLWLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chacarita JuniorsLLLDL
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandChacarita Juniors
36.9Attack22.6
70.2Defence64.3
48.8Form32.1
53.8Power42.0
0.89xG0.36