Midlandvs
Atletico DE Rafaela
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Midland 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Midland 4-0 Atletico DE Rafaela
Original prediction
Midland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.8% | 44.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.3% | 35.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 5.11 | 17.9% | 19.4% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Projected Score
Midland 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MidlandDLWWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico DE RafaelaLLWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MidlandAtletico DE Rafaela
35.4Attack28.1
72.9Defence68.8
50.0Form43.8
54.6Power49.3
0.73xG0.42